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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Calamocha vs Peña Sport prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Calamocha host Peña Sport in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Calamocha 1–1 Peña Sport.
Going into the match, Calamocha had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Peña Sport had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Calamocha's last 10 and 6 of Peña Sport's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Calamocha averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Peña Sport averaged 0.71 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Calamocha and 1.58 from Peña Sport. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 49%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Calamocha (green) and Peña Sport (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calamocha | LLLWL | 0.70 | 1.50 | 10% | 30% |
| Peña Sport | LWLWL | 1.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Peña Sport Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Calamocha form and statistics
- Peña Sport form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Arnedo vs Tudelano · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.84 · FT 2–2 - SD Logroñés vs Náxara · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Terrassa vs UD Logroñés II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Barbastro vs Manresa · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 0–0 - Reddis vs Espanyol II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28