SC Freiburg vs Bayern München prediction and preview

25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.40Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

SC Freiburg host Bayern München in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, SC Freiburg had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 14. Bayern München had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 36 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of SC Freiburg's last 10 and 7 of Bayern München's last 10; 9 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Freiburg averaged 2.87 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Bayern München averaged 2.57 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from SC Freiburg and 2.11 from Bayern München. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 40%, against 15%, 17% and 68% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between SC Freiburg (green) and Bayern München (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form48% – 52%

Attack39% – 61%

Defence44% – 56%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals32% – 68%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
SC Freiburg	LLWWW	2.60	1.40	70%	90%
Bayern München	DWDDW	3.60	1.10	70%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Bayern München Win	69%	1.38
BTTS 1st Half - No	69%	1.36
BTTS Yes	67%	1.40
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Under 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Bayern München HT & FT	50%	1.91
2nd Half Higher Goals	47%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.