1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and preview

25 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.33Market probability 70%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

1899 Hoffenheim host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, 1899 Hoffenheim had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 19. Bayer Leverkusen had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 10 and 4 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1899 Hoffenheim averaged 2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Bayer Leverkusen averaged 2.69 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from 1899 Hoffenheim and 2.28 from Bayer Leverkusen. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 57%, against 33%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between 1899 Hoffenheim (green) and Bayer Leverkusen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form32% – 68%

Attack39% – 61%

Defence35% – 65%

Head-to-head40% – 60%

Goals38% – 63%

Overall strength36% – 63%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
1899 Hoffenheim	WWLLL	2.00	1.90	70%	90%
Bayer Leverkusen	WWWWW	2.80	0.90	40%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
Double Chance 12	76%	1.25
BTTS Yes	70%	1.33
BTTS 1st Half - No	69%	1.36
Under 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Bayer Leverkusen Win	41%	2.30
Bayer Leverkusen HT & FT	28%	3.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.