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Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien (Norway) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0–3 Rosenborg.
Going into the match, Sarpsborg 08 FF had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Rosenborg had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 34 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 10 and 6 of Rosenborg's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarpsborg 08 FF averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Rosenborg averaged 2.50 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Sarpsborg 08 FF and 2.00 from Rosenborg. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 55%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sarpsborg 08 FF (green) and Rosenborg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | WWLDD | 1.70 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
| Rosenborg | DWWWW | 3.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Rosenborg 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eliteserien matches that day
- Tromso vs KFUM Oslo · 18 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Molde vs Start · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 · FT 6–1 - Sandefjord vs Lillestrom · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Valerenga vs Brann · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 3–1