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Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sandefjord host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien (Norway) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sandefjord 0–2 Lillestrom.
Going into the match, Sandefjord had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 8. Lillestrom had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sandefjord's last 10 and 7 of Lillestrom's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sandefjord averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Lillestrom averaged 1.14 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Sandefjord and 1.02 from Lillestrom. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 37%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sandefjord (green) and Lillestrom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | DWWLD | 2.50 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Lillestrom | DDWLL | 1.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eliteserien matches that day
- Tromso vs KFUM Oslo · 18 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Molde vs Start · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 · FT 6–1 - Valerenga vs Brann · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 3–1 - Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Eliteserien
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44