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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sarmiento Junin host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sarmiento Junin had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Rosario Central had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sarmiento Junin's last 10 and 6 of Rosario Central's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarmiento Junin averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Rosario Central averaged 1.27 scored and 1.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Sarmiento Junin and 1.70 from Rosario Central. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 50%, against 22%, 30% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sarmiento Junin (green) and Rosario Central (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento Junin | LDDWL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
| Rosario Central | WWWDW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Apr 2026 · Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento Junin
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Rosario Central Win | 47% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Sarmiento Junin form and statistics
- Rosario Central form and statistics
- Liga Profesional Argentina statistics
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Talleres Cordoba Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente · 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Racing Club vs Aldosivi · 31 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Racing Club Win @ 1.70 - Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. · 30 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Huracan vs Tigre · 30 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25