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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Defensa Y Justicia host Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Defensa Y Justicia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Defensa Y Justicia had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Independiente had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Defensa Y Justicia's last 10 and 5 of Independiente's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Defensa Y Justicia averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Independiente averaged 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Defensa Y Justicia and 0.82 from Independiente. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 19%, against 41%, 31% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Defensa Y Justicia (green) and Independiente (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | WLWWD | 1.50 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
| Independiente | LDDLW | 0.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Defensa Y Justicia form and statistics
- Independiente form and statistics
- Liga Profesional Argentina statistics
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Talleres Cordoba Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Racing Club vs Aldosivi · 31 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Racing Club Win @ 1.70 - Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central · 31 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. · 30 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Huracan vs Tigre · 30 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25