Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.28Market probability 73%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sarmiento Junin host Barracas Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sarmiento Junin to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Barracas Central.

Going into the match, Sarmiento Junin had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Barracas Central had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Sarmiento Junin's last 10 and 4 of Barracas Central's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarmiento Junin averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Barracas Central averaged 0.83 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Sarmiento Junin and 1.05 from Barracas Central. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 26%, against 41%, 33% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sarmiento Junin (green) and Barracas Central (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack57% – 43%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head75% – 25%

Goals63% – 38%

Overall strength56% – 43%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sarmiento Junin	DWLDW	1.70	1.20	70%	50%
Barracas Central	WWLDD	0.80	1.20	40%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
Double Chance 1X	73%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
BTTS No	58%	1.62
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Sarmiento Junin Win	42%	2.30
Under 1.5 Goals	41%	2.25
Draw	32%	2.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.