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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Riestra host Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 20 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Deportivo Riestra to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Union Santa Fe.
Going into the match, Deportivo Riestra had won 0, drawn 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Union Santa Fe had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Deportivo Riestra's last 10 and 7 of Union Santa Fe's last 10; 1 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Riestra averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Union Santa Fe averaged 1.10 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Deportivo Riestra and 1.10 from Union Santa Fe. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 31%, against 44%, 33% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Riestra (green) and Union Santa Fe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | LDDLD | 0.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 10% |
| Union Santa Fe | LLLLW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Deportivo Riestra Win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 40% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Deportivo Riestra form and statistics
- Union Santa Fe form and statistics
- Liga Profesional Argentina statistics
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago · 19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central · 19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 1–1