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Paulista - U20 · Brazil
São Paulo U20 vs Desportivo Brasil U20 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
São Paulo U20 host Desportivo Brasil U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: São Paulo U20 2–2 Desportivo Brasil U20.
Going into the match, São Paulo U20 had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 3. Desportivo Brasil U20 had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of São Paulo U20's last 10 and 7 of Desportivo Brasil U20's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home São Paulo U20 averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Desportivo Brasil U20 averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from São Paulo U20 and 0.56 from Desportivo Brasil U20. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 8%, against 68%, 20% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between São Paulo U20 (green) and Desportivo Brasil U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo U20 | WWWWD | 2.80 | 0.30 | 30% | 30% |
| Desportivo Brasil U20 | LDWDL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · Desportivo Brasil U20 0–2 São Paulo U20
- 4 Sep 2026 · Desportivo Brasil U20 0–1 São Paulo U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| São Paulo U20 Win | 69% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
| São Paulo U20 HT & FT | 48% | 1.91 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.