Santa Fe vs Jaguares prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 01:20 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.48Market probability 65%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Santa Fe host Jaguares in the Primera A (Colombia) on 22 Oct 2026, 01:20 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Santa Fe 2–1 Jaguares.

Going into the match, Santa Fe had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Jaguares had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Santa Fe's last 10 and 8 of Jaguares's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santa Fe averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.74 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Jaguares averaged 0.78 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from Santa Fe and 0.75 from Jaguares. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 12%, against 77%, 15% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Santa Fe (green) and Jaguares (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form75% – 25%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence77% – 23%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals54% – 46%

Overall strength64% – 35%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Santa Fe	LDWWD	1.10	0.90	40%	30%
Jaguares	LWLLL	1.50	2.00	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Santa Fe Win	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.25
Over 2.5 Goals	65%	1.48
Santa Fe 1st Half Win	57%	1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Under 3.5 Goals	55%	1.67
BTTS No	50%	1.80
Santa Fe HT & FT	50%	1.91

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.