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Primera A · Colombia
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Llaneros host Deportivo Cali in the Primera A (Colombia) on 21 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Llaneros 0–3 Deportivo Cali.
Going into the match, Llaneros had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Deportivo Cali had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Llaneros's last 10 and 4 of Deportivo Cali's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Llaneros averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Deportivo Cali averaged 1.31 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.64 goals from Llaneros and 1.39 from Deportivo Cali. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 54%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Llaneros (green) and Deportivo Cali (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | WLLLL | 1.10 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Deportivo Cali | DDWWW | 1.30 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Deportivo Cali 1–1 Llaneros
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Deportivo Cali Win | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera A matches that day
- Santa Fe vs Jaguares · 22 Oct 2026, 01:20 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 2–1