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2. Lig · Turkey
Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Şanlıurfaspor host Hatayspor in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Şanlıurfaspor 4–2 Hatayspor.
Going into the match, Şanlıurfaspor had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Hatayspor had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Şanlıurfaspor's last 10 and 4 of Hatayspor's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Şanlıurfaspor averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Hatayspor averaged 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Şanlıurfaspor and 0.98 from Hatayspor. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 16%, against 71%, 18% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Şanlıurfaspor (green) and Hatayspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor | WDLDD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
| Hatayspor | LLLWL | 0.90 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor Win | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.63 |
| Şanlıurfaspor HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Lig matches that day
- Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Menemen FK vs Güzide Gebzespor · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–1 - Fethiyespor vs Ankaragücü · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 - 1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 · FT 2–1