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2. Lig · Turkey
Elazığspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Elazığspor host Arnavutköy Belediyespor in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Elazığspor 3–0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
Going into the match, Elazığspor had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 7. Arnavutköy Belediyespor had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 9, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Elazığspor's last 10 and 4 of Arnavutköy Belediyespor's last 9; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Elazığspor averaged 2.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Arnavutköy Belediyespor averaged 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.48 goals from Elazığspor and 0.47 from Arnavutköy Belediyespor. From that it rates a home win at 91%, a draw at 7% and an away win at 2%, against 80%, 14% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Elazığspor (green) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığspor | WLDWW | 2.30 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor | LLLLL | 0.89 | 1.78 | 44% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 66% | 1.38 |
| Elazığspor HT & FT | 61% | 1.53 |
| Elazığspor 1st Half Win | 61% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| 3-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Lig matches that day
- Menemen FK vs Güzide Gebzespor · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–1 - Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Fethiyespor vs Ankaragücü · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 - 1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 2. Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 · FT 2–1