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II Liga - East · Poland
Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sandecja Nowy Sącz host Lechia Zielona Góra in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1–3 Lechia Zielona Góra.
Going into the match, Sandecja Nowy Sącz had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. Lechia Zielona Góra had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sandecja Nowy Sącz's last 10 and 8 of Lechia Zielona Góra's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sandecja Nowy Sącz averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lechia Zielona Góra averaged 1.55 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Sandecja Nowy Sącz and 1.14 from Lechia Zielona Góra. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sandecja Nowy Sącz (green) and Lechia Zielona Góra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | DWLLW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 70% |
| Lechia Zielona Góra | LWLLW | 1.70 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.