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Primera Nacional · Argentina
San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Telmo host Defensores De Belgrano in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Telmo 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano.
Going into the match, San Telmo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Defensores De Belgrano had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of San Telmo's last 10 and 3 of Defensores De Belgrano's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Telmo averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Defensores De Belgrano averaged 0.50 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from San Telmo and 0.61 from Defensores De Belgrano. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 20%, against 33%, 34% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Telmo (green) and Defensores De Belgrano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Telmo | LWWLW | 1.00 | 1.30 | 30% | 50% |
| Defensores De Belgrano | LDLWW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 San Telmo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 37% | 2.62 |
| Defensores De Belgrano Win | 32% | 2.70 |
| 0-0 | 20% | 4.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- San Martin Tucuman vs Midland · 18 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 3–2 - Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 6–3 - San Martin S.J. vs Temperley · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 1–1