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Primera Nacional · Argentina
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Martin Tucuman host Midland in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — San Martin Tucuman to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Martin Tucuman 3–2 Midland.
Going into the match, San Martin Tucuman had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Midland had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of San Martin Tucuman's last 10 and 3 of Midland's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Martin Tucuman averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Midland averaged 1.13 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from San Martin Tucuman and 1.13 from Midland. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 29%, against 44%, 33% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Martin Tucuman (green) and Midland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin Tucuman | LWDLW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Midland | WDLWW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Midland 2–0 San Martin Tucuman
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| San Martin Tucuman Win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano · 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 6–3 - San Martin S.J. vs Temperley · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 1–1