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Primera B · Chile
San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Marcos de Arica host D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B (Chile) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is San Marcos de Arica Win — San Marcos de Arica to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Marcos de Arica 0–0 D. Puerto Montt.
Going into the match, San Marcos de Arica had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. D. Puerto Montt had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of San Marcos de Arica's last 10 and 3 of D. Puerto Montt's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Marcos de Arica averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home D. Puerto Montt averaged 0.64 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from San Marcos de Arica and 0.76 from D. Puerto Montt. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 24%, against 55%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Marcos de Arica (green) and D. Puerto Montt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcos de Arica | LWWLW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| D. Puerto Montt | LLLLW | 0.70 | 1.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · D. Puerto Montt 0–2 San Marcos de Arica
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| San Marcos de Arica Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Deportes Santa Cruz vs Antofagasta · 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 - Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 2–2 - Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25