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Primera B · Chile
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Antofagasta prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportes Santa Cruz host Antofagasta in the Primera B (Chile) on 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportes Santa Cruz 0–0 Antofagasta.
Going into the match, Deportes Santa Cruz had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Antofagasta had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Deportes Santa Cruz's last 10 and 5 of Antofagasta's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportes Santa Cruz averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Antofagasta averaged 1.77 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.68 goals from Deportes Santa Cruz and 1.45 from Antofagasta. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 55%, against 26%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportes Santa Cruz (green) and Antofagasta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Santa Cruz | LLLLD | 0.60 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
| Antofagasta | WWWWD | 2.10 | 0.70 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Antofagasta 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Antofagasta Win | 46% | 1.91 |
| Antofagasta HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: San Marcos de Arica Win @ 1.62 · FT 0–0 - Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 2–2 - Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25