Samgurali vs Meshakhte prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Samgurali WinOdds 1.55Market probability 59%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Samgurali host Meshakhte in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Samgurali Win — Samgurali to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Samgurali 2–0 Meshakhte.

Going into the match, Samgurali had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 21. Meshakhte had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Samgurali's last 10 and 5 of Meshakhte's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Samgurali averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Meshakhte averaged 1.00 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Samgurali and 1.00 from Meshakhte. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 17%, against 58%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Samgurali (green) and Meshakhte (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack69% – 31%

Defence35% – 65%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals85% – 15%

Overall strength65% – 34%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Samgurali	WLLLL	1.70	2.10	80%	80%
Meshakhte	LDLDD	0.80	1.20	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 Aug 2026 · Meshakhte 1–2 Samgurali
1 Aug 2026 · Samgurali 0–0 Meshakhte
6 May 2026 · Samgurali 3–1 Meshakhte

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	71%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	62%	1.46
Samgurali Win	59%	1.55
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.75
BTTS Yes	52%	1.75
Under 2.5 Goals	46%	2.05
Samgurali HT & FT	40%	2.30
1-0	12%	7.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.