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Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gagra host Dinamo Batumi in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Dinamo Batumi Win — Dinamo Batumi to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gagra 1–3 Dinamo Batumi.
Going into the match, Gagra had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Dinamo Batumi had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gagra's last 10 and 4 of Dinamo Batumi's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gagra averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Dinamo Batumi averaged 1.69 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Gagra and 1.78 from Dinamo Batumi. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 55%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | LDLDL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
| Dinamo Batumi | WDWDW | 2.10 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Dinamo Batumi 2–2 Gagra
- 6 May 2026 · Gagra 1–2 Dinamo Batumi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Dinamo Batumi Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
| Dinamo Batumi HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Erovnuli Liga matches that day
- Samgurali vs Meshakhte · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Erovnuli Liga
Published pick: Samgurali Win @ 1.55 · FT 2–0