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J3 League · Japan

Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.34Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sagamihara host Tochigi SC in the J3 League (Japan) on 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sagamihara to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.34, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Sagamihara had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Tochigi SC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Sagamihara's last 10 and 4 of Tochigi SC's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sagamihara averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Tochigi SC averaged 0.67 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Sagamihara and 0.95 from Tochigi SC. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sagamihara (green) and Tochigi SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%
Attack82% – 18%
Defence40% – 60%
Head-to-head93% – 7%
Goals90% – 10%
Overall strength75% – 24%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
SagamiharaLWWWD1.501.5070%70%
Tochigi SCWLLDL0.701.3040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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