Şagadam vs Aşgabat prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Şagadam host Aşgabat in the Ýokary Liga (Turkmenistan) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Şagadam to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Şagadam had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 19. Aşgabat had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 29 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Şagadam's last 10 and 8 of Aşgabat's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Şagadam averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Aşgabat averaged 1.10 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Şagadam and 1.49 from Aşgabat. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 52%. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Şagadam (green) and Aşgabat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form75% – 25%

Attack20% – 80%

Defence58% – 42%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals55% – 45%

Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Şagadam	LLLWL	0.60	1.90	30%	40%
Aşgabat	LLDLL	1.50	2.90	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

15 Aug 2026 · Aşgabat 1–0 Şagadam
20 May 2026 · Şagadam 0–2 Aşgabat
11 Apr 2026 · Aşgabat 1–3 Şagadam