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Ýokary Liga · Turkmenistan

Nebitci vs Merw prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nebitci host Merw in the Ýokary Liga (Turkmenistan) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Nebitci to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Nebitci 3–0 Merw.

Going into the match, Nebitci had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 23. Merw had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 25 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Nebitci's last 10 and 3 of Merw's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nebitci averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Merw averaged 0.63 scored and 2.88 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Nebitci and 1.04 from Merw. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nebitci (green) and Merw (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack64% – 36%
Defence46% – 54%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals54% – 46%
Overall strength58% – 41%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
NebitciWLLLD1.402.3060%70%
MerwWDWLL1.002.5030%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match

Other Ýokary Liga matches that day