Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.44Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Rustavi host Dinamo Tbilisi in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Dinamo Tbilisi to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Rustavi had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Dinamo Tbilisi had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Rustavi's last 10 and 6 of Dinamo Tbilisi's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rustavi averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Tbilisi averaged 1.73 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Rustavi and 0.97 from Dinamo Tbilisi. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 28%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Rustavi (green) and Dinamo Tbilisi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals54% – 46%

Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Rustavi	WWWLW	1.50	0.70	40%	40%
Dinamo Tbilisi	WLWWW	1.70	1.10	60%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

15 Aug 2026 · Dinamo Tbilisi 0–3 Rustavi
11 May 2026 · Rustavi 2–3 Dinamo Tbilisi

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.34
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.37
BTTS Yes	53%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.00
Dinamo Tbilisi Win	37%	2.40
Draw	28%	3.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.