Rubin vs Fakel prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · Ak Bars Arena, Kazan

The PunterPick prediction

Fakel Under 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 79%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Rubin host Fakel in the Premier League (Russia) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Fakel Under 1.5 Goals — Fakel Under 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Rubin had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 17. Fakel had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Rubin's last 10 and 4 of Fakel's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rubin averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Fakel averaged 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Rubin and 0.93 from Fakel. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 32%, against 48%, 30% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Rubin (green) and Fakel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence53% – 47%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Rubin	LLLLL	0.80	1.70	60%	30%
Fakel	DLWWL	0.90	1.40	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	77%	1.26
Over 1.5 Goals	66%	1.47
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	64%	1.52
Under 10.5 Corners	63%	1.47
Under 2.5 Goals	60%	1.56
BTTS No	54%	1.71
Rubin Win	48%	2.03
Over 2.5 Goals	40%	2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.