Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Arena Khimki, Khimki

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.23Market probability 81%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Rodina Moskva host FC Krasnodar in the Premier League (Russia) on 31 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — FC Krasnodar to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 81% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Rodina Moskva had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. FC Krasnodar had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Rodina Moskva's last 10 and 7 of FC Krasnodar's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rodina Moskva averaged 1.58 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Krasnodar averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Rodina Moskva and 2.32 from FC Krasnodar. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 58%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Rodina Moskva (green) and FC Krasnodar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack42% – 58%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals0% – 100%

Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Rodina Moskva	LWDLL	1.30	2.10	70%	70%
FC Krasnodar	WDDLL	1.30	1.40	70%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	80%	1.20
Double Chance X2	79%	1.23
BTTS 1st Half - No	74%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	62%	1.54
Under 3.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Under 10.5 Corners	61%	1.52
Over 2.5 Goals	60%	1.60
BTTS Yes	59%	1.57

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.