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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Rosengård vs Kristianstad prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rosengård host Kristianstad in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rosengård had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Kristianstad had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Rosengård's last 10 and 5 of Kristianstad's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rosengård averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kristianstad averaged 1.08 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Rosengård and 1.11 from Kristianstad. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 25%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rosengård (green) and Kristianstad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengård | DDLWD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 50% |
| Kristianstad | WLLWW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Kristianstad 1–2 Rosengård
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Rosengård Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.30 |
| Rosengård HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ettan - Södra matches that day
- Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Trollhättan vs Jonkopings Sodra · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - AFC Malmo vs Angelholms FF · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Eskilsminne vs Lund · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Laholm vs Olympic · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40