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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
AFC Malmo vs Angelholms FF prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Malmo host Angelholms FF in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AFC Malmo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Angelholms FF had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of AFC Malmo's last 10 and 3 of Angelholms FF's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Malmo averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Angelholms FF averaged 1.43 scored and 1.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.50 goals from AFC Malmo and 1.10 from Angelholms FF. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 14%, against 56%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Malmo (green) and Angelholms FF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Malmo | LWWWW | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Angelholms FF | LWWLD | 0.90 | 2.20 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Angelholms FF 2–2 AFC Malmo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| AFC Malmo Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.10 |
| AFC Malmo HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ettan - Södra matches that day
- Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Trollhättan vs Jonkopings Sodra · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Eskilsminne vs Lund · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Laholm vs Olympic · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Rosengård vs Kristianstad · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50