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Second League A - Division A Gold · Russia
Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rodina Moskva II host Volgar Astrakhan in the Second League A - Division A Gold (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Volgar Astrakhan.
Going into the match, Rodina Moskva II had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 10. Volgar Astrakhan had won 1, drawn 8 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rodina Moskva II's last 10 and 5 of Volgar Astrakhan's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rodina Moskva II averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Volgar Astrakhan averaged 1.08 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Rodina Moskva II and 1.17 from Volgar Astrakhan. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 29%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rodina Moskva II (green) and Volgar Astrakhan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva II | WWLWW | 2.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 70% |
| Volgar Astrakhan | DDDDD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Volgar Astrakhan 0–1 Rodina Moskva II
- 31 May 2026 · Volgar Astrakhan 2–0 Rodina Moskva II
- 12 Apr 2026 · Rodina Moskva II 2–1 Volgar Astrakhan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Rodina Moskva II Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.06 |
| Rodina Moskva II HT & FT | 43% | 2.16 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Rodina Moskva II form and statistics
- Volgar Astrakhan form and statistics
- Second League A - Division A Gold statistics
Other Second League A - Division A Gold matches that day
- Dinamo Bryansk vs Kaluga · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Dinamo Bryansk Win @ 1.63 - Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29 - Novosibirsk vs FK Sokol Saratov · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.47 - Dinamo Vladivostok vs Dinamo Kirov · 18 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.37