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Second League A - Division A Gold · Russia
Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk-KMV prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alaniya Vladikavkaz host Mashuk-KMV in the Second League A - Division A Gold (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3–3 Mashuk-KMV.
Going into the match, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Mashuk-KMV had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Alaniya Vladikavkaz's last 10 and 5 of Mashuk-KMV's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alaniya Vladikavkaz averaged 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Mashuk-KMV averaged 1.08 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.16 from Mashuk-KMV. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 37%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alaniya Vladikavkaz (green) and Mashuk-KMV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaniya Vladikavkaz | WWDLD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 30% | 20% |
| Mashuk-KMV | DDDDL | 0.70 | 0.80 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Mashuk-KMV 0–0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.71 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 1.98 |
| Alaniya Vladikavkaz Win | 43% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Alaniya Vladikavkaz form and statistics
- Mashuk-KMV form and statistics
- Second League A - Division A Gold statistics
Other Second League A - Division A Gold matches that day
- Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Dinamo Bryansk vs Kaluga · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Dinamo Bryansk Win @ 1.63 - Novosibirsk vs FK Sokol Saratov · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.47 - Dinamo Vladivostok vs Dinamo Kirov · 18 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Second League A - Division A Gold
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.37