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Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rizespor host Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 8 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rizespor had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Erzurumspor FK had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Rizespor's last 10 and 3 of Erzurumspor FK's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rizespor averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Erzurumspor FK averaged 0.83 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Rizespor and 0.77 from Erzurumspor FK. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 20%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rizespor (green) and Erzurumspor FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | DLLLD | 1.10 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Erzurumspor FK | LWWDW | 0.90 | 1.50 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Jul 2026 · Erzurumspor FK 0–0 Rizespor
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Süper Lig matches that day
- Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe · 8 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60