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Süper Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Corum Stadyumu, Corum
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Çorum FK host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 8 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Çorum FK had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. Fenerbahçe had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Çorum FK's last 10 and 4 of Fenerbahçe's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Çorum FK averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Fenerbahçe averaged 1.64 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Çorum FK and 1.82 from Fenerbahçe. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 45%, against 22%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Çorum FK (green) and Fenerbahçe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK | WLWWL | 2.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 80% |
| Fenerbahçe | WLLDW | 2.30 | 1.40 | 40% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Süper Lig matches that day
- Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK · 8 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36