Rīgas FS vs Tukums prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.44Market probability 61%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Rīgas FS host Tukums in the Virsliga (Latvia) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Rīgas FS 2–0 Tukums.

Going into the match, Rīgas FS had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Tukums had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Rīgas FS's last 10 and 5 of Tukums's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rīgas FS averaged 3.06 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Tukums averaged 1.08 scored and 2.62 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 3.66 goals from Rīgas FS and 0.68 from Tukums. From that it rates a home win at 89%, a draw at 8% and an away win at 3%, against 87%, 9% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Rīgas FS (green) and Tukums (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form73% – 27%

Attack73% – 27%

Defence69% – 31%

Head-to-head100% – 0%

Goals73% – 27%

Overall strength75% – 25%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Rīgas FS	WWDWD	2.10	1.20	60%	70%
Tukums	LDLWL	0.70	1.90	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

27 Jul 2026 · Tukums 0–1 Rīgas FS
25 May 2026 · Rīgas FS 3–1 Tukums
13 Apr 2026 · Tukums 1–2 Rīgas FS

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Rīgas FS HT & FT	72%	1.33
Rīgas FS 1st Half Win	70%	1.30
BTTS No	61%	1.44
Over 9.5 Corners	54%	1.71
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	50%	1.83
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	50%	1.83
3-0	16%	6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.