BFC Daugavpils vs Auda prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

BFC Daugavpils host Auda in the Virsliga (Latvia) on 19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: BFC Daugavpils 2–1 Auda.

Going into the match, BFC Daugavpils had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Auda had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of BFC Daugavpils's last 10 and 6 of Auda's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BFC Daugavpils averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Auda averaged 1.56 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from BFC Daugavpils and 0.91 from Auda. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 28%, against 31%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between BFC Daugavpils (green) and Auda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form31% – 69%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head40% – 60%

Goals46% – 54%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
BFC Daugavpils	WDLDD	1.30	0.90	60%	50%
Auda	WDWDW	1.70	1.00	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

2 Sep 2026 · BFC Daugavpils 2–2 Auda
26 Jul 2026 · Auda 1–0 BFC Daugavpils
26 May 2026 · BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Auda
12 Apr 2026 · Auda 2–3 BFC Daugavpils

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	78%	1.20
Double Chance 12	74%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Over 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.