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USL Championship · USA
Rhode Island vs Loudoun United prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rhode Island host Loudoun United in the USL Championship (USA) on 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Rhode Island Win — Rhode Island to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rhode Island 1–0 Loudoun United.
Going into the match, Rhode Island had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Loudoun United had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Rhode Island's last 10 and 5 of Loudoun United's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rhode Island averaged 1.85 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Loudoun United averaged 1.00 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Rhode Island and 0.79 from Loudoun United. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 20%, against 59%, 20% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rhode Island (green) and Loudoun United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island | LWWLL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
| Loudoun United | WDWLL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Loudoun United 1–4 Rhode Island
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.54 |
| Rhode Island Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.30 |
| Rhode Island HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other USL Championship matches that day
- Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery · 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion · 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–1