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J3 League · Japan
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Renofa Yamaguchi host Kochi United in the J3 League (Japan) on 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Renofa Yamaguchi Win — Renofa Yamaguchi to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Renofa Yamaguchi 2–0 Kochi United.
Going into the match, Renofa Yamaguchi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Kochi United had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Renofa Yamaguchi's last 10 and 3 of Kochi United's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Renofa Yamaguchi averaged 1.11 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Kochi United averaged 0.36 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.15 goals from Renofa Yamaguchi and 0.45 from Kochi United. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 6%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Renofa Yamaguchi (green) and Kochi United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | WWDWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
| Kochi United | LLLLD | 0.40 | 2.00 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Kochi United 2–2 Renofa Yamaguchi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi Win | 56% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.05 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga · 18 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.55 - Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 - Biwako Shiga vs Sagamihara · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 0–2