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Ligue 2 · France

Reims vs Dijon prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 4–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Reims host Dijon in the Ligue 2 (France) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Reims 4–2 Dijon.

Going into the match, Reims had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Dijon had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Reims's last 10 and 9 of Dijon's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Reims averaged 2.78 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dijon averaged 1.60 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Reims and 1.62 from Dijon. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 25%, against 52%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Reims (green) and Dijon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence64% – 36%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ReimsDLDWD1.701.3070%70%
DijonWDWWD1.801.6090%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X79%1.20
Over 1.5 Goals79%1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No77%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals64%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes57%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals57%1.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Ligue 2 matches that day