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Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp vs PAU prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guingamp host PAU in the Ligue 2 (France) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guingamp 1–2 PAU.
Going into the match, Guingamp had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. PAU had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Guingamp's last 10 and 4 of PAU's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guingamp averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home PAU averaged 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Guingamp and 1.29 from PAU. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 44%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guingamp (green) and PAU (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · PAU 2–1 Guingamp
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 2 matches that day
- Annecy vs Nancy · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 1–2 - Grenoble vs Boulogne · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Laval vs Clermont Foot · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 3–3 - Reims vs Dijon · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 4–2