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CAF Confederation Cup · International
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Red Arrows host Kaizer Chiefs in the CAF Confederation Cup (International) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Kaizer Chiefs to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Red Arrows 1–0 Kaizer Chiefs.
Going into the match, Red Arrows had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Kaizer Chiefs had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Red Arrows's last 10 and 7 of Kaizer Chiefs's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Red Arrows averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Kaizer Chiefs averaged 1.33 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Red Arrows and 0.67 from Kaizer Chiefs. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 22%, against 24%, 30% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Red Arrows (green) and Kaizer Chiefs (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Arrows | DWWWW | 1.20 | 0.40 | 30% | 20% |
| Kaizer Chiefs | DDDWD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Kaizer Chiefs Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other CAF Confederation Cup matches that day
- AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad · 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.62 · FT 0–2 - AFAD vs CS Sfaxien · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.33 - ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kitara vs Al Ahly · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Al Ahly Win @ 1.44 · FT 1–2