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CAF Confederation Cup · International
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFAD host CS Sfaxien in the CAF Confederation Cup (International) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — AFAD to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFAD 1–1 CS Sfaxien.
Going into the match, AFAD had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 10. CS Sfaxien had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of AFAD's last 10 and 4 of CS Sfaxien's last 10; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFAD averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home CS Sfaxien averaged 0.86 scored and 0.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from AFAD and 1.23 from CS Sfaxien. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 39%, against 39%, 32% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFAD (green) and CS Sfaxien (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFAD | DDLDD | 2.20 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
| CS Sfaxien | LWDWL | 1.00 | 0.70 | 40% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.61 |
| AFAD Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other CAF Confederation Cup matches that day
- AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad · 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.62 · FT 0–2 - ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kitara vs Al Ahly · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Al Ahly Win @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.22