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Primera B · Colombia
Real Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Cundinamarca host Bogota FC in the Primera B (Colombia) on 14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Cundinamarca 0–0 Bogota FC.
Going into the match, Real Cundinamarca had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Bogota FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Real Cundinamarca's last 10 and 4 of Bogota FC's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Cundinamarca averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Bogota FC averaged 0.55 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Real Cundinamarca and 0.52 from Bogota FC. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 15%, against 54%, 27% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Cundinamarca (green) and Bogota FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Cundinamarca | LWWWW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Bogota FC | DDLWD | 0.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Real Cundinamarca Win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Real Cundinamarca HT & FT | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Envigado vs Real Santander · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Envigado Win @ 1.62 · FT 1–1