Home › League stats › Primera B › Envigado vs Real Santander
Primera B · Colombia
Envigado vs Real Santander prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Envigado host Real Santander in the Primera B (Colombia) on 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Envigado Win — Envigado to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Envigado 1–1 Real Santander.
Going into the match, Envigado had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Real Santander had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Envigado's last 10 and 5 of Real Santander's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Envigado averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Real Santander averaged 0.50 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Envigado and 0.87 from Real Santander. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 22%, against 57%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Envigado (green) and Real Santander (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envigado | DDDWD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Real Santander | WLDDL | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Envigado Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Envigado HT & FT | 38% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Real Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC · 14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 0–0