Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Rayong FC host Uthai Thani in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Rayong FC 1–1 Uthai Thani.

Going into the match, Rayong FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Uthai Thani had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Rayong FC's last 9 and 6 of Uthai Thani's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rayong FC averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Uthai Thani averaged 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Rayong FC and 1.42 from Uthai Thani. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 31%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Rayong FC (green) and Uthai Thani (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack39% – 61%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals33% – 67%

Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Rayong FC	LDWWD	1.56	2.00	78%	56%
Uthai Thani	WWLWL	1.78	1.33	67%	56%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 Apr 2026 · Uthai Thani 4–1 Rayong FC

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.20
Double Chance 12	74%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.