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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC vs Prachuap prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chonburi FC host Prachuap in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chonburi FC 1–2 Prachuap.
Going into the match, Chonburi FC had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Prachuap had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Chonburi FC's last 9 and 2 of Prachuap's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chonburi FC averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Prachuap averaged 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Chonburi FC and 1.84 from Prachuap. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 62%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chonburi FC (green) and Prachuap (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chonburi FC | LLLLW | 1.11 | 1.78 | 56% | 56% |
| Prachuap | WWWLD | 1.40 | 0.60 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Prachuap 2–0 Chonburi FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Thai League 1 matches that day
- Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Sukhothai FC vs Rasi Salai United · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–1