Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.22Market probability 74%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Radnik Bijeljina host FK Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — FK Sarajevo to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Radnik Bijeljina 1–1 FK Sarajevo.

Going into the match, Radnik Bijeljina had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 25. FK Sarajevo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Radnik Bijeljina's last 10 and 1 of FK Sarajevo's last 10; 8 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Radnik Bijeljina averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FK Sarajevo averaged 1.58 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Radnik Bijeljina and 1.30 from FK Sarajevo. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 43%, against 25%, 28% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Radnik Bijeljina (green) and FK Sarajevo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form42% – 58%

Attack79% – 21%

Defence21% – 79%

Head-to-head25% – 75%

Goals41% – 59%

Overall strength42% – 57%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Radnik Bijeljina	WLLDL	1.80	2.50	90%	80%
FK Sarajevo	DWWLL	0.90	0.50	10%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

8 Aug 2026 · FK Sarajevo 0–0 Radnik Bijeljina
18 Apr 2026 · Radnik Bijeljina 1–2 FK Sarajevo

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	74%	1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.31
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	64%	1.45
Under 2.5 Goals	57%	1.65
BTTS No	52%	1.76
FK Sarajevo Win	46%	1.91
Over 2.5 Goals	43%	2.20
FK Sarajevo HT & FT	30%	3.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.