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Premijer Liga · Bosnia
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
BSK Banja Luka host Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: BSK Banja Luka 1–1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
Going into the match, BSK Banja Luka had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of BSK Banja Luka's last 10 and 6 of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BSK Banja Luka averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Zeljeznicar Sarajevo averaged 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from BSK Banja Luka and 1.10 from Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 24%, against 38%, 29% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between BSK Banja Luka (green) and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSK Banja Luka | LDDWL | 1.30 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | LDDWW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Aug 2026 · Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2–1 BSK Banja Luka
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| BSK Banja Luka Win | 38% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premijer Liga matches that day
- Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premijer Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.22 · FT 1–1