Qabala vs Qarabag prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Qabala host Qarabag in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Qabala had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Qarabag had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Qabala's last 10 and 5 of Qarabag's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Qabala averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Qarabag averaged 1.71 scored and 0.86 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Qabala and 1.69 from Qarabag. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 60%, against 13%, 21% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Qabala (green) and Qarabag (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

• 9 May 2026 · Qabala 1–1 Qarabag

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Qabala form and statistics
• Qarabag form and statistics
• Premyer Liqa statistics

Other Premyer Liqa matches that day

• Araz vs Zira · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premyer Liqa
  Published pick: Zira Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20