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Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan

Araz vs Zira prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi

The PunterPick prediction

Zira Over 0.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Araz host Zira in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Zira Over 0.5 Goals — Zira Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Araz had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Zira had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Araz's last 10 and 6 of Zira's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Araz averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Zira averaged 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Araz and 1.42 from Zira. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 24%, 27% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Araz (green) and Zira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form14% – 86%
Attack45% – 55%
Defence38% – 63%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals55% – 45%
Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ArazWLLLL1.301.9050%70%
ZiraDWDDL1.301.3060%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance X276%1.22
Over 1.5 Goals73%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals70%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals66%1.40
Under 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes53%1.80
Zira Win50%1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Premyer Liqa matches that day