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Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan
Araz vs Zira prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Araz host Zira in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Zira Over 0.5 Goals — Zira Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Araz had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Zira had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Araz's last 10 and 6 of Zira's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Araz averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Zira averaged 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Araz and 1.42 from Zira. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 24%, 27% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Araz (green) and Zira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Araz 3–2 Zira
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Zira Win | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premyer Liqa matches that day
- Qabala vs Qarabag · 31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Premyer Liqa
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20