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I Liga · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puszcza Niepołomice host Polonia Bytom in the I Liga (Poland) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Puszcza Niepołomice 0–1 Polonia Bytom.
Going into the match, Puszcza Niepołomice had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Polonia Bytom had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Puszcza Niepołomice's last 10 and 8 of Polonia Bytom's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puszcza Niepołomice averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Polonia Bytom averaged 1.77 scored and 2.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Puszcza Niepołomice and 1.57 from Polonia Bytom. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 39%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puszcza Niepołomice (green) and Polonia Bytom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | LLLWW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Polonia Bytom | LDWDD | 1.30 | 1.90 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Puszcza Niepołomice 2–1 Polonia Bytom
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 59% | 1.59 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.